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The 2026 verdict
FAIRLY PRICED
+6
Model #38 · ADP 44

Zay Flowers's ADP of 43.8 sits within a round of our model's #38 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Our model projects Zay Flowers for 204 PPR points in 2026 (12.0 per week), ranking him WR15 and #38 overall. That projection is built on a 29% target share.

Projected points
204
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
12.0
projected PPR points
Model rank
#38
WR15 at his position
ADP
43.8
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
9
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Target share29%share of his team's throws that go to him
Snap share88th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality53th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Zay Flowers in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. Zay Flowers's ADP of 43.8 sits within a round of our model's #38 overall rank. The market has him about right.

What round should Zay Flowers go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Zay Flowers is being drafted around pick 44 (round 4 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #38 overall, a round-4 pick.

What is Zay Flowers's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Zay Flowers for 204 PPR points in 2026, 12.0 points per week, making him the WR15 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Zay Flowers Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score