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UFC talent board

11 divisions

176 fightersUpdated Aug 17, 2026See how it works ↓

Every fighter rated 0–99 on the four phases of an MMA fight (striking, wrestling, grappling, and cardio + fight IQ) blended into one overall. Tap any column to sort, filter by division, or click a fighter for the full breakdown.

Division


#1	Tom Aspinall	Heavyweight	15	3	83%	5–1	92	94	96	93	86	94Elite
#3	Jon Jones“Bones”	Heavyweight	28	1	97%	1–0	91	89	90	87	95	31Even
#4	Ciryl Gane“Bon Gamin”	Heavyweight	14	2	88%	6–1	90	95	68	87	96	86Elite
#5	Ilia Topuria“El Matador”	Featherweight	17	1	94%	4–0	88	88	92	87	86	77Elite
#6	Anthony Hernandez“Fluffy”	Middleweight	15	3	83%	3–1	87	85	89	98	86	51Hard
#7	Khamzat Chimaev“Borz”	Middleweight	15	1	94%	2–1	87	81	97	97	87	50Hard
#8	Sean O'Malley“Suga”	Bantamweight	20	3	87%	4–3	87	95	70	70	88	38Even
#9	Islam Makhachev	Lightweight	29	1	97%	5–0	87	78	95	94	95	76Elite
#10	Jailton Almeida“Malhadinho”	Heavyweight	22	5	81%	4–2	86	78	88	97	92	54Hard
#11	Kayla Harrison	Women's Bantamweight	19	1	95%	3–0	86	85	92	89	85	78Elite
#12	Carlos Ulberg“Black Jag”	Light Heavyweight	15	1	94%	4–0	85	91	83	76	80	17Soft
#13	Benoit Saint Denis“God of War”	Lightweight	17	4	81%	2–3	85	88	87	97	77	58Hard
#14	Tatiana Suarez	Women's Strawweight	13	1	93%	3–1	85	77	85	92	93	90Elite
#15	Beneil Dariush	Lightweight	23	8	72%	2–3	85	79	89	92	91	48Even
#16	Maycee Barber“The Future”	Women's Flyweight	15	3	83%	3–2	85	89	78	67	88	59Hard
#17	Sean Brady	Welterweight	19	2	90%	3–2	85	80	94	91	85	72Hard
#18	Jalin Turner“The Tarantula”	Lightweight	16	9	64%	0–3	84	87	82	93	77	43Even
#19	Alex Pereira“Poatan”	Light Heavyweight	13	4	76%	5–1	84	90	78	70	83	3Soft
#20	Curtis Blaydes“Razor”	Heavyweight	19	6	76%	4–3	84	86	83	64	89	79Elite
#21	Azamat Murzakanov“The Professional”	Light Heavyweight	16	1	94%	2–0	84	88	78	70	87	8Soft
#22	Nikita Krylov“The Miner”	Light Heavyweight	31	12	72%	2–4	84	83	79	92	84	19Soft
#23	Shavkat Rakhmonov“Nomad”	Welterweight	19	0	100%	4–0	84	78	83	96	89	28Even
#24	Nassourdine Imavov“The Russian Sniper”	Middleweight	17	4	81%	5–1	84	86	79	82	83	67Hard
#25	Valentina Shevchenko“Bullet”	Women's Flyweight	26	4	84%	3–1	84	79	92	79	89	96Elite
#26	Arman Tsarukyan“Ahalkalakets”	Lightweight	23	3	88%	3–2	84	82	88	70	88	91Elite
#27	Alexander Volkanovski“The Great”	Featherweight	28	4	88%	5–1	84	92	80	70	80	89Elite
#28	Umar Nurmagomedov“Young Eagle”	Bantamweight	20	1	95%	3–1	84	82	92	77	85	78Elite
#29	Gillian Robertson“Savage”	Women's Strawweight	17	9	65%	3–1	83	75	79	93	93	9Soft
#30	Dustin Poirier“The Diamond”	Lightweight	30	10	75%	4–3	83	86	77	92	79	37Even
#31	Max Holloway“Blessed”	Featherweight	28	9	76%	4–4	83	88	79	79	80	61Hard
#33	Jaqueline Amorim	Women's Strawweight	11	2	85%	-	83	74	75	99	95	1Soft
#34	Dominick Reyes“Devastator”	Light Heavyweight	16	5	76%	5–3	83	88	75	75	82	60Hard
#35	Renato Moicano“Money”	Lightweight	21	7	72%	2–3	83	79	81	90	87	68Hard
#36	Magomed Ankalaev	Light Heavyweight	22	2	88%	7–1	83	83	80	70	89	29Even
#37	Alex Perez“The Future”	Flyweight	26	10	72%	2–3	83	79	87	88	84	27Even
#38	Michael Morales“Veneno”	Welterweight	19	0	100%	3–0	83	89	85	64	80	27Even
#39	Kamaru Usman“The Nigerian Nightmare”	Welterweight	21	5	81%	5–2	83	82	92	71	83	98Elite
#40	Manon Fiorot“The Beast”	Women's Flyweight	13	2	87%	3–1	83	87	82	64	85	83Elite
#41	Alexandr Romanov“King Kong”	Heavyweight	18	3	86%	0–3	83	79	84	91	87	65Hard
#42	Lerone Murphy“The Miracle”	Featherweight	17	1	89%	3–1	83	86	77	76	85	33Even
#43	Alexander Volkov“Drago”	Heavyweight	40	11	78%	7–5	83	88	78	73	80	86Elite
#44	Zhang Weili“Magnum”	Women's Strawweight	26	4	87%	4–0	83	85	82	82	81	98Elite
#46	Casey O'Neill“King”	Women's Flyweight	11	2	85%	-	82	88	80	86	74	25Even
#47	Waldo Cortes-Acosta“Salsa Boy”	Heavyweight	17	3	85%	4–2	82	87	77	67	81	28Even
#48	Jessica Andrade“Bate Estaca”	Women's Strawweight	26	15	63%	4–4	82	85	89	81	73	80Elite
#49	Neil Magny“The Haitian Sensation”	Welterweight	32	15	68%	1–5	82	78	80	80	89	32Even
#50	Mateusz Gamrot“Gamer”	Lightweight	26	5	84%	3–3	82	77	90	81	85	71Hard
#51	Caio Borralho“The Natural”	Middleweight	18	2	90%	1–1	82	80	85	79	84	7Soft
#52	Bryce Mitchell“Thug Nasty”	Featherweight	19	4	83%	2–2	82	77	79	92	86	16Soft
#53	Vinicius Oliveira“Lok-Dog”	Bantamweight	24	4	86%	2–1	82	86	82	70	81	74Hard
#54	Su Mudaerji“The Tibetan Eagle”	Flyweight	19	7	73%	0–3	82	83	78	76	83	6Soft
#55	Vicente Luque“The Silent Assassin”	Welterweight	24	13	63%	1–5	81	83	76	91	77	33Even
#56	Charles Oliveira“do Bronx”	Lightweight	37	11	77%	6–2	81	75	80	99	86	57Hard
#57	Cory Sandhagen“The Sandman”	Bantamweight	18	7	72%	5–4	81	84	74	75	82	95Elite
#58	Joaquin Buckley“New Mansa”	Welterweight	21	8	72%	3–2	81	78	82	67	90	72Hard
#59	Rob Font	Bantamweight	22	10	69%	1–4	81	85	68	76	83	18Soft
#61	Julianna Pena“Venezuelan Vixen”	Women's Bantamweight	13	6	68%	2–3	81	74	78	90	89	95Elite
#62	Mario Bautista	Bantamweight	18	3	86%	3–2	81	83	81	94	74	59Hard
#63	Said Nurmagomedov	Bantamweight	18	5	78%	0–1	81	75	73	93	90	41Even
#64	Manel Kape“Starboy”	Flyweight	23	7	77%	2–3	81	87	75	70	78	49Even
#65	Jack Hermansson“The Joker”	Middleweight	24	10	71%	0–4	81	81	83	83	78	29Even
#66	Kyler Phillips“The Matrix”	Bantamweight	12	5	71%	1–2	81	81	90	79	78	20Soft
#67	Denise Gomes	Women's Strawweight	12	3	80%	0–1	81	83	79	79	79	2Soft
#68	Petr Yan“No Mercy”	Bantamweight	20	5	80%	5–2	81	87	89	67	74	88Elite
#69	Ian Machado Garry“The Future”	Welterweight	17	2	89%	4–1	81	85	76	73	81	52Hard
#70	Loopy Godinez	Women's Strawweight	14	6	70%	1–4	81	79	89	90	76	74Hard
#71	Matheus Nicolau	Flyweight	19	6	73%	4–2	81	77	87	85	83	42Even
#72	Natalia Silva	Women's Flyweight	20	5	77%	5–0	81	84	78	64	84	88Elite
#73	Jairzinho Rozenstruik“Bigi Boy”	Heavyweight	15	6	71%	2–5	80	80	69	64	92	81Elite
#74	Geoff Neal“Handz of Steel”	Welterweight	16	8	67%	2–5	80	85	81	72	76	5Soft
#75	Jamahal Hill“Sweet Dreams”	Light Heavyweight	12	4	75%	1–2	80	89	69	64	76	8Soft
#76	Jose Aldo“Junior”	Bantamweight	32	10	76%	2–4	80	79	83	67	84	55Hard
#77	Rose Namajunas“Thug”	Women's Flyweight	15	8	65%	2–3	80	74	81	83	89	96Elite
#78	Johnny Walker	Light Heavyweight	22	10	69%	1–5	80	82	72	83	79	30Even
#79	Colby Covington“Chaos”	Welterweight	17	5	77%	0–4	80	75	87	78	83	70Hard
#80	Erin Blanchfield“Cold Blooded”	Women's Flyweight	14	2	88%	4–1	80	78	86	94	76	92Elite
#81	Jack Della Maddalena“JDM”	Welterweight	18	4	82%	2–1	80	87	68	72	78	54Hard
#82	Robert Whittaker“The Reaper”	Middleweight	28	9	76%	3–4	80	82	80	64	82	69Hard
#83	Ailin Perez“Fiona”	Women's Bantamweight	13	2	87%	2–0	80	76	91	76	83	70Hard
#85	Macy Chiasson	Women's Bantamweight	11	6	65%	2–5	79	74	79	85	84	0Soft
#86	Dan Hooker“The Hangman”	Lightweight	24	14	63%	2–5	79	82	78	84	74	82Elite
#87	Conor McGregor“The Notorious”	Welterweight	22	7	76%	-	79	85	78	67	75	64Hard
#88	Stephen Thompson“Wonderboy”	Welterweight	17	9	63%	2–4	79	81	69	64	86	39Even
#89	Sergei Pavlovich	Heavyweight	21	3	88%	5–2	79	82	74	64	82	67Hard
#90	Dustin Jacoby“The Hanyak”	Light Heavyweight	22	10	67%	0–2	79	86	68	64	79	11Soft
#91	Paulo Costa“Borrachinha”	Middleweight	16	4	80%	0–4	79	89	77	64	70	26Even
#92	Rafael Fiziev“Ataman”	Lightweight	14	5	74%	1–3	79	84	88	64	71	45Even
#93	Alexandre Pantoja“The Cannibal”	Flyweight	30	6	83%	8–0	79	78	87	93	73	24Soft
#94	Dricus du Plessis“Stillknocks”	Middleweight	24	3	89%	4–1	79	82	80	84	73	97Elite
#95	Arnold Allen“Almighty”	Featherweight	21	4	84%	3–2	79	74	85	80	83	32Even
#96	Raquel Pennington“Rocky”	Women's Bantamweight	16	10	62%	5–5	79	78	73	88	82	55Hard
#97	Leon Edwards“Rocky”	Welterweight	22	6	79%	4–4	79	77	78	78	83	91Elite
#98	Miranda Maverick“Fear The”	Women's Flyweight	17	6	74%	1–4	79	73	79	83	86	66Hard
#99	Marina Rodriguez	Women's Strawweight	17	6	68%	2–5	79	82	72	73	79	84Elite
#100	Aleksandar Rakic“Rocket”	Light Heavyweight	15	6	71%	1–5	79	82	77	67	79	15Soft
#101	Merab Dvalishvili“The Machine”	Bantamweight	21	5	81%	7–1	79	77	90	77	78	76Elite
#102	Movsar Evloev	Featherweight	20	0	100%	3–0	79	77	87	70	81	46Even
#103	Norma Dumont“The Immortal”	Women's Bantamweight	13	3	81%	5–1	79	79	84	64	82	13Soft
#104	Marlon Vera“Chito”	Bantamweight	23	12	64%	2–6	78	77	75	91	75	21Soft
#105	Jared Cannonier“The Killa Gorilla”	Middleweight	18	10	64%	3–4	78	81	77	64	78	71Hard
#106	Brendan Allen“All In”	Middleweight	27	7	79%	1–3	78	75	78	95	77	9Soft
#107	Dan Ige“50K”	Featherweight	19	11	63%	1–5	78	77	72	78	84	16Soft
#108	Carlos Prates“The Nightmare”	Welterweight	24	7	77%	4–1	78	83	79	64	73	23Soft
#109	Tatsuro Taira	Flyweight	18	2	90%	2–1	78	74	82	94	78	15Soft
#110	Amanda Lemos“Amandinha”	Women's Strawweight	15	7	65%	4–5	78	75	79	88	78	94Elite
#111	Song Yadong“Kung Fu Kid”	Bantamweight	23	9	70%	3–4	78	78	79	77	78	47Even
#112	Volkan Oezdemir“No Time”	Light Heavyweight	21	8	72%	3–6	78	83	76	71	75	25Even
#113	Brandon Moreno“The Assassin Baby”	Flyweight	23	10	66%	4–4	78	75	79	83	81	56Hard
#114	Paddy Pimblett“The Baddy”	Lightweight	24	4	86%	2–1	78	83	67	95	71	44Even
#115	Jan Blachowicz	Light Heavyweight	29	12	67%	3–2	78	77	80	80	78	36Even
#117	Andrea Lee“KGB”	Women's Flyweight	13	11	54%	0–4	78	79	80	84	75	23Soft
#118	Aiemann Zahabi	Bantamweight	14	3	82%	2–1	78	83	73	64	78	3Soft
#119	Tim Elliott“The Lone Wolf”	Flyweight	22	14	59%	1–3	78	72	85	92	79	13Soft
#120	Nathaniel Wood“The Prospect”	Featherweight	23	6	79%	-	78	82	84	85	68	12Soft
#121	Kai Kara-France“Don't Blink”	Flyweight	25	12	68%	0–5	78	80	78	64	81	52Hard
#122	Yan Xiaonan	Women's Strawweight	19	5	79%	3–3	78	81	80	64	78	87Elite
#123	Gilbert Burns“Durinho”	Welterweight	22	10	69%	2–5	77	72	78	86	80	75Elite
#124	Serghei Spivac“Polar Bear”	Heavyweight	18	6	75%	4–5	77	73	88	86	75	79Elite
#125	Deiveson Figueiredo“Deus da Guerra”	Bantamweight	25	7	76%	2–4	77	73	77	93	78	75Elite
#126	Brandon Royval“Raw Dawg”	Flyweight	18	9	67%	6–4	77	78	76	95	71	87Elite
#127	Justin Gaethje“The Highlight”	Lightweight	28	5	85%	5–2	77	88	72	64	67	58Hard
#128	Henry Cejudo“Triple C”	Bantamweight	16	6	73%	0–2	77	78	81	67	78	63Hard
#129	Yair Rodriguez“El Pantera”	Featherweight	21	6	78%	2–3	77	81	71	81	74	22Soft
#130	Sodiq Yusuff“Super”	Featherweight	13	5	72%	0–2	77	83	68	81	71	17Soft
#131	Israel Adesanya“The Last Stylebender”	Middleweight	24	6	80%	6–3	77	80	71	67	80	50Hard
#132	Charles Johnson“InnerG”	Flyweight	20	9	69%	1–3	77	81	70	79	73	31Even
#133	Sean Strickland“Tarzan”	Middleweight	31	7	82%	7–3	77	82	79	70	72	90Elite
#134	Jiri Prochazka“Denisa”	Light Heavyweight	32	6	82%	4–3	77	85	77	73	65	35Even
#135	Virna Jandiroba“Carcara”	Women's Strawweight	23	4	85%	5–2	77	68	87	93	81	80Elite
#136	Angela Hill“Overkill”	Women's Strawweight	19	16	54%	3–6	77	83	76	75	68	62Hard
#138	Iasmin Lucindo	Women's Strawweight	18	6	75%	2–1	77	72	87	72	82	4Soft
#139	Mayra Bueno Silva“Sheetara”	Women's Bantamweight	10	7	56%	0–2	76	73	70	97	77	68Hard
#140	Edson Barboza“Junior”	Featherweight	24	15	62%	1–4	76	78	78	67	76	35Even
#141	Miesha Tate“Cupcake”	Women's Bantamweight	20	10	67%	1–4	76	68	77	95	82	40Even
#142	Marcin Tybura“Tybur”	Heavyweight	27	12	69%	3–5	76	75	78	70	78	66Hard
#143	Giga Chikadze“Ninja”	Featherweight	15	6	71%	1–2	76	76	69	70	80	14Soft
#144	Jasmine Jasudavicius“Fierce”	Women's Flyweight	15	4	79%	2–3	76	69	89	87	75	48Even
#145	Michel Pereira“Demolidor”	Middleweight	32	15	68%	0–1	76	77	84	85	67	20Soft
#146	Yana Santos“Foxy”	Women's Bantamweight	17	8	68%	4–3	76	81	74	67	73	12Soft
#147	Irene Aldana“Robles”	Women's Bantamweight	15	8	65%	4–4	75	78	78	76	68	63Hard
#148	Bogdan Guskov	Light Heavyweight	18	4	78%	1–2	75	78	63	84	72	62Hard
#149	Karine Silva“Killer”	Women's Flyweight	19	7	73%	0–3	75	66	79	96	81	40Even
#150	Alexa Grasso	Women's Flyweight	17	5	74%	4–2	75	74	68	87	76	93Elite
#151	Belal Muhammad“Remember the Name”	Welterweight	24	6	80%	5–4	75	75	88	70	71	73Hard
#152	Karol Rosa	Women's Bantamweight	19	8	70%	1–3	75	82	82	67	64	51Hard
#153	Derrick Lewis“The Black Beast”	Heavyweight	29	14	67%	3–6	74	74	67	64	82	64Hard
#155	Brian Ortega“T-City”	Featherweight	16	5	76%	1–3	74	71	71	93	74	60Hard
#156	Roman Dolidze	Middleweight	15	5	75%	2–3	74	72	74	79	76	45Even
#158	Marvin Vettori“The Italian Dream”	Middleweight	19	10	63%	3–6	74	76	81	82	66	41Even
#160	Tracy Cortez	Women's Flyweight	12	4	75%	3–2	74	74	81	73	70	82Elite
#161	Anthony Smith“Lionheart”	Light Heavyweight	38	22	63%	1–4	73	72	66	87	72	44Even
#162	Mackenzie Dern	Women's Strawweight	17	5	77%	5–4	73	67	70	95	77	85Elite
#163	Matt Schnell“Danger”	Flyweight	17	11	61%	1–4	73	70	71	94	70	24Soft
#164	Michael Chandler“Iron”	Lightweight	23	11	68%	1–5	73	74	79	80	66	34Even
#165	Luana Pinheiro“Dread”	Women's Strawweight	11	5	69%	0–2	73	70	85	70	72	53Hard
#166	Tai Tuivasa“Bam Bam”	Heavyweight	15	10	60%	1–6	72	75	64	64	75	19Soft
#167	Chelsea Chandler“Cool Hand”	Women's Bantamweight	7	4	64%	0–2	72	71	74	82	70	5Soft
#168	Josh Emmett	Featherweight	19	7	73%	3–3	72	73	72	67	73	21Soft
#169	Amir Albazi“The Prince”	Flyweight	17	3	85%	1–1	72	67	75	83	75	11Soft
#170	Cody Durden“The Spartan”	Flyweight	18	11	60%	2–1	72	69	85	82	68	1Soft
#171	Viviane Araujo“Miss Bulldog”	Women's Flyweight	13	7	65%	2–3	72	72	85	78	65	37Even
#172	Shamil Gaziev	Heavyweight	14	3	82%	0–2	71	68	82	79	67	10Soft
#173	Ketlen Vieira“Fenomeno”	Women's Bantamweight	16	5	76%	3–5	71	65	87	81	68	36Even
#174	Calvin Kattar“The Boston Finisher”	Featherweight	23	10	70%	2–3	70	74	74	67	64	43Even
#175	Istela Nunes	Women's Strawweight	6	6	50%	-	70	75	62	64	70	4Soft
#176	Ante Delija“Walking Trouble”	Heavyweight	26	8	76%	1–2	69	72	70	64	67	99Elite

What the columns mean

P4P: Pound-for-pound rank across the whole roster by overall rating (#1 = best).
W / L: Professional wins and losses.
Win %: Win percentage: wins divided by total pro bouts.
vs Ranked: Record (W–L) against other ranked fighters in the same division: the champion + top 15.
Overall: Composite skill rating: 45% striking, 30% cardio + fight IQ, 15% wrestling, 10% grappling (backtest-tuned).
Striking: Stand-up: significant strikes landed/min, accuracy, defense (strikes avoided), strikes absorbed, and KO/TKO finishing.
Wrestling: Takedowns landed per 15 min, takedown accuracy, and takedown defense.
Grappling: Submissions attempted per 15 min and submission-finish rate: the threat once it hits the mat.
Cardio + IQ: Damage avoidance (defense + strikes absorbed) and the ability to close (finish rate): a durability & ring-craft proxy.
Competition: Level of competition: strength of schedule from the opponent-adjusted model. Higher = beat tougher opponents, not cans.

Overall is a weighted blend of the four axes (45% striking, 30% cardio + IQ, 15% wrestling, 10% grappling), tuned by backtesting against real fight outcomes. Each axis is a percentile read of the fighter's UFCStats career numbers against the rest of the roster (see below).

Methodology

How it works

Every fighter is rated 0–99 on the four phases of an MMA fight(striking, wrestling, grappling, and cardio + fight IQ) blended into one overall. The scores are derived, not hand-set: each fighter's public UFCStats career numbers are ranked against the rest of the roster and mapped onto the scale. It's a scout-style read to visualize and compare skill sets, not an official rating.

Step 0

The inputs: UFCStats career averages

For all 176 ranked fighters we start from the eight career averages UFCStats publishes on every fighter's page, plus their win/finish split (KO-TKO / submission / decision) and record:

Striking: strikes landed & absorbed per minute, accuracy, defense.
Grappling: takedowns per 15 min, takedown accuracy & defense, submission attempts per 15 min.
Outcomes: wins, losses, and how the wins came (KO / submission / decision).

These are counting stats: descriptive, opponent-blind, and shaped by style (a counter-striker posts low volume; a control grappler looks quiet on strikes). That's why we read all four axes, not just the composite.

Step 1

Career numbers → four 0–99 axes

For each component we rank a fighter against the whole roster (a percentile) then blend the components into one axis and map it onto the 60–99 band you see (so the color ramp and bars spread across a visible range). Percentiles, not raw numbers, so a fighter is judged against the field:

Striking

Sig. strikes landed/min, accuracy, defense (strikes avoided − absorbed), and KO/TKO finishing.

Wrestling

Takedowns landed per 15 min, takedown accuracy, and takedown defense.

Grappling

Submissions attempted per 15 min and submission-finish rate.

Cardio + IQ

Damage avoidance (defense − strikes absorbed) and finish rate: a durability & ring-craft proxy.

Step 2

The four axes → one Overall

The axes combine into an overall with a striking-heavy weighting. These weights aren't arbitrary: they're backtested against real fight outcomes (a time-aware, leak-free logistic model), tuned so the composite leans on the phases that actually predict who wins. Striking and durability carry the most signal:

45% Striking

30% Cardio + IQ

15% Wrestling

10% Grappling

A fixed pound-for-pound rank then orders everyone by overall, independent of how the table is sorted or filtered.

Step 3

Opponent-adjusted (level of competition)

Counting stats are opponent-blind: five takedowns on a debutant look like five on a champion. So we also fit an opponent-adjusted model (FVOA-style) on fight-by-fight data: each phase is credited against the fighters actually faced, with partial pooling and small-sample shrinkage. That yields each fighter's strength of schedule and adjusted striking / wrestling / takedown-defense, shown on profiles once the model has run.

Step 4

Win probability (Compare)

On the compare page a matchup model turns two fighters' stats into a win probability: takedowns vs. takedown defense, KO threat vs. durability, striking differential, and more. It's a logistic model trained on real fight results with time-aware (leak-free) features, so the reported accuracy is honest, currently ~68% on held-out fights. Not betting advice.

Caveats

What this is, and isn't

This is a scout-style read from public career numbers: a useful lens, not a perfect rating. Counting stats are descriptive and style can beat stats, so the composite is opinionated by design. Read the four axes together, lean on the opponent-adjusted view for context, and treat the win probability as a model's best guess, not a lock.