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The 2026 verdict
FAIRLY PRICED
+6
Model #39 · ADP 45

DeVonta Smith's ADP of 44.9 sits within a round of our model's #39 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Our model projects DeVonta Smith for 200 PPR points in 2026 (11.8 per week), ranking him WR16 and #39 overall. That projection is built on a 25% target share.

Projected points
200
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
11.8
projected PPR points
Model rank
#39
WR16 at his position
ADP
44.9
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
9
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Target share25%share of his team's throws that go to him
Snap share56th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality78th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. DeVonta Smith's ADP of 44.9 sits within a round of our model's #39 overall rank. The market has him about right.

What round should DeVonta Smith go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

DeVonta Smith is being drafted around pick 45 (round 4 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #39 overall, a round-4 pick.

What is DeVonta Smith's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects DeVonta Smith for 200 PPR points in 2026, 11.8 points per week, making him the WR16 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

DeVonta Smith Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score