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The 2026 verdict
ADP VALUE
+12
Model #153 · ADP 165

The market drafts Sam Darnold around pick 165 (round 14); our model ranks him #153 overall: round-13 production at a round-14 price.

Our model projects Sam Darnold for 238 PPR points in 2026 (14.0 per week), ranking him QB23 and #153 overall. That projection is built on a 7% carry share.

Projected points
238
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
14.0
projected PPR points
Model rank
#153
QB23 at his position
ADP
165.3
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
3
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Carry share7%share of his team's rushing attempts
Snap share87th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality97th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Sam Darnold in 2026 fantasy football?

Yes, at his current price. The market drafts Sam Darnold around pick 165 (round 14); our model ranks him #153 overall: round-13 production at a round-14 price.

What round should Sam Darnold go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Sam Darnold is being drafted around pick 165 (round 14 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #153 overall, a round-13 pick.

What is Sam Darnold's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Sam Darnold for 238 PPR points in 2026, 14.0 points per week, making him the QB23 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Sam Darnold Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score