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The market drafts Patrick Mahomes around pick 100 (round 9), a full round ahead of our model's #148 overall. You'll have to pay above our projection to roster him.
Our model projects Patrick Mahomes for 209 PPR points in 2026 (12.3 per week), ranking him QB22 and #148 overall. That projection is built on a 15% carry share.
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What's behind the projection
Frequently asked
Should I draft Patrick Mahomes in 2026 fantasy football?
Only at a discount. The market drafts Patrick Mahomes around pick 100 (round 9), a full round ahead of our model's #148 overall. You'll have to pay above our projection to roster him.
What round should Patrick Mahomes go in 2026 fantasy drafts?
Patrick Mahomes is being drafted around pick 100 (round 9 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #148 overall, a round-13 pick.
What is Patrick Mahomes's 2026 fantasy projection?
Our model projects Patrick Mahomes for 209 PPR points in 2026, 12.3 points per week, making him the QB22 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.
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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.