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The 2026 verdict
FAIRLY PRICED
+9
Model #19 · ADP 28

Josh Allen's ADP of 28.2 sits within a round of our model's #19 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Our model projects Josh Allen for 348 PPR points in 2026 (20.5 per week), ranking him QB1 and #19 overall. That projection is built on a 21% carry share.

Projected points
348
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
20.5
projected PPR points
Model rank
#19
QB1 at his position
ADP
28.2
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
1
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Carry share21%share of his team's rushing attempts
Snap share75th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality84th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Josh Allen in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. Josh Allen's ADP of 28.2 sits within a round of our model's #19 overall rank. The market has him about right.

What round should Josh Allen go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Josh Allen is being drafted around pick 28 (round 3 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #19 overall, a round-2 pick.

What is Josh Allen's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Josh Allen for 348 PPR points in 2026, 20.5 points per week, making him the QB1 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Josh Allen Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score