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The 2026 verdict
FAIRLY PRICED
+3
Model #54 · ADP 57

Joe Burrow's ADP of 57.1 sits within a round of our model's #54 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Our model projects Joe Burrow for 285 PPR points in 2026 (16.8 per week), ranking him QB6 and #54 overall. That projection is built on a 4% carry share.

Projected points
285
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
16.8
projected PPR points
Model rank
#54
QB6 at his position
ADP
57.1
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
2
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Carry share4%share of his team's rushing attempts
Snap share86th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality12th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Joe Burrow in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. Joe Burrow's ADP of 57.1 sits within a round of our model's #54 overall rank. The market has him about right.

What round should Joe Burrow go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Joe Burrow is being drafted around pick 57 (round 5 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #54 overall, a round-5 pick.

What is Joe Burrow's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Joe Burrow for 285 PPR points in 2026, 16.8 points per week, making him the QB6 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Joe Burrow Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score