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The 2026 verdict
ADP VALUE
+21
Model #216 · ADP 237

The market drafts Tua Tagovailoa around pick 237 (round 20); our model ranks him #216 overall: round-18 production at a round-20 price.

Our model projects Tua Tagovailoa for 190 PPR points in 2026 (11.2 per week), ranking him QB33 and #216 overall. That projection is built on a 5% carry share.

Projected points
190
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
11.2
projected PPR points
Model rank
#216
QB33 at his position
ADP
236.5
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
4
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Carry share5%share of his team's rushing attempts
Snap share99th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality41th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Tua Tagovailoa in 2026 fantasy football?

Yes, at his current price. The market drafts Tua Tagovailoa around pick 237 (round 20); our model ranks him #216 overall: round-18 production at a round-20 price.

What round should Tua Tagovailoa go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Tua Tagovailoa is being drafted around pick 237 (round 20 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #216 overall, a round-18 pick.

What is Tua Tagovailoa's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Tua Tagovailoa for 190 PPR points in 2026, 11.2 points per week, making him the QB33 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Tua Tagovailoa Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score