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The 2026 verdict
FAIRLY PRICED
+4
Model #84 · ADP 88

Rico Dowdle's ADP of 88.1 sits within a round of our model's #84 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Our model projects Rico Dowdle for 170 PPR points in 2026 (10.0 per week), ranking him RB28 and #84 overall. That projection is built on a 10% target share, a 51% carry share.

Projected points
170
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
10.0
projected PPR points
Model rank
#84
RB28 at his position
ADP
88.1
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
9
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Target share10%share of his team's throws that go to him
Carry share51%share of his team's rushing attempts
Snap share47th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality50th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Rico Dowdle in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. Rico Dowdle's ADP of 88.1 sits within a round of our model's #84 overall rank. The market has him about right.

What round should Rico Dowdle go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Rico Dowdle is being drafted around pick 88 (round 8 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #84 overall, a round-7 pick.

What is Rico Dowdle's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Rico Dowdle for 170 PPR points in 2026, 10.0 points per week, making him the RB28 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Rico Dowdle Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score