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The 2026 verdict
FAIRLY PRICED
-1
Model #13 · ADP 12

Justin Jefferson's ADP of 12.4 sits within a round of our model's #13 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Our model projects Justin Jefferson for 250 PPR points in 2026 (14.7 per week), ranking him WR5 and #13 overall. That projection is built on a 31% target share.

Projected points
250
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
14.7
projected PPR points
Model rank
#13
WR5 at his position
ADP
12.4
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
5
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Target share31%share of his team's throws that go to him
Snap share92th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality47th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Justin Jefferson in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. Justin Jefferson's ADP of 12.4 sits within a round of our model's #13 overall rank. The market has him about right.

What round should Justin Jefferson go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Justin Jefferson is being drafted around pick 12 (round 2 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #13 overall, a round-2 pick.

What is Justin Jefferson's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Justin Jefferson for 250 PPR points in 2026, 14.7 points per week, making him the WR5 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Justin Jefferson Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score