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The 2026 verdict
FAIRLY PRICED
+3
Model #22 · ADP 25

Derrick Henry's ADP of 24.6 sits within a round of our model's #22 overall rank. The market has him about right.

Our model projects Derrick Henry for 230 PPR points in 2026 (13.6 per week), ranking him RB11 and #22 overall. That projection is built on a 5% target share, a 61% carry share.

Projected points
230
PPR, full 2026 season
Per week
13.6
projected PPR points
Model rank
#22
RB11 at his position
ADP
24.6
average draft pick (Sleeper)
Tier
6
our positional tier

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What's behind the projection

Target share5%share of his team's throws that go to him
Carry share61%share of his team's rushing attempts
Snap share52th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position
Team quality53th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Derrick Henry in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. Derrick Henry's ADP of 24.6 sits within a round of our model's #22 overall rank. The market has him about right.

What round should Derrick Henry go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Derrick Henry is being drafted around pick 25 (round 3 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #22 overall, a round-2 pick.

What is Derrick Henry's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Derrick Henry for 230 PPR points in 2026, 13.6 points per week, making him the RB11 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.

Derrick Henry Fantasy Outlook 2026: Projections, Rankings, ADP | The Box Score