RB · BAL · 2026 outlookFAIRLY PRICED

Derrick Henry: 2026 Fantasy Outlook

Our model projects Derrick Henry for 230 PPR points in 2026 (13.6 per week), ranking him RB13 and #25 overall. That projection is built on a 5% target share, a 61% carry share. Derrick Henry's ADP of 20.0 sits within a round of our model's #25 overall rank — the market has him about right.

Projected points

230

PPR, full 2026 season

Per week

13.6

projected PPR points

Model rank

#25

RB13 at his position

ADP

20.0

average draft pick (Sleeper)

Tier

our positional tier

What's behind the projection

Target share5%share of his team's throws that go to him

Carry share61%share of his team's rushing attempts

Snap share54th pcthow often he's on the field, vs. his position

Team quality53th pcthis offense's opponent-adjusted rating

Frequently asked

Should I draft Derrick Henry in 2026 fantasy football?

At his ADP, yes. Derrick Henry's ADP of 20.0 sits within a round of our model's #25 overall rank — the market has him about right.

What round should Derrick Henry go in 2026 fantasy drafts?

Derrick Henry is being drafted around pick 20 (round 2 of a 12-team draft). Our model values him at #25 overall, a round-3 pick.

What is Derrick Henry's 2026 fantasy projection?

Our model projects Derrick Henry for 230 PPR points in 2026 — 13.6 points per week — making him the RB13 in our rankings. The projection blends our custom pipeline with consensus and updates weekly through draft season.

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Projections from our custom pipeline blended with consensus, built on nflverse data · refreshed through draft season · rounds assume a 12-team draft.